Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 8:32 AM, 20 voters in 10 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 90,286 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 49,409 - 147,631). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 8:32 AM 1468 c(2.5% = 1017) c(97.5% = 1928)
02 8:32 AM 2294 c(2.5% = 1628) c(97.5% = 2952)
03 8:32 AM 1183 c(2.5% = 602) c(97.5% = 2009)
04 8:32 AM 1078 c(2.5% = 533) c(97.5% = 1918)
05 8:32 AM 2983 c(2.5% = 2222) c(97.5% = 3813)
06 8:32 AM 722 c(2.5% = 488) c(97.5% = 1126)
07 8:32 AM 410 c(2.5% = 112) c(97.5% = 1531)
08 8:32 AM 3290 c(2.5% = 2282) c(97.5% = 4304)
09 8:32 AM 1963 c(2.5% = 1282) c(97.5% = 2688)
10 8:32 AM 1627 c(2.5% = 1009) c(97.5% = 2598)
11 8:32 AM 696 c(2.5% = 327) c(97.5% = 1294)
12 8:32 AM 1168 c(2.5% = 675) c(97.5% = 1901)
13 8:32 AM 1070 c(2.5% = 569) c(97.5% = 1814)
14 8:32 AM 459 c(2.5% = 312) c(97.5% = 700)
15 8:32 AM 1875 c(2.5% = 1257) c(97.5% = 2455)
16 8:32 AM 563 c(2.5% = 237) c(97.5% = 1161)
17 8:32 AM 1371 c(2.5% = 720) c(97.5% = 2307)
18 8:32 AM 1110 c(2.5% = 731) c(97.5% = 1498)
19 8:32 AM 411 c(2.5% = 127) c(97.5% = 1141)
20 8:32 AM 395 c(2.5% = 216) c(97.5% = 864)
21 8:32 AM 3548 c(2.5% = 1919) c(97.5% = 5215)
22 8:32 AM 2181 c(2.5% = 1521) c(97.5% = 3200)
23 8:32 AM 944 c(2.5% = 419) c(97.5% = 1772)
24 8:32 AM 721 c(2.5% = 417) c(97.5% = 1166)
25 8:32 AM 867 c(2.5% = 301) c(97.5% = 1629)
26 8:32 AM 1435 c(2.5% = 719) c(97.5% = 2280)
27 8:32 AM 875 c(2.5% = 554) c(97.5% = 1416)
28 8:32 AM 601 c(2.5% = 257) c(97.5% = 1227)
29 8:32 AM 668 c(2.5% = 393) c(97.5% = 1087)
30 8:32 AM 1318 c(2.5% = 1100) c(97.5% = 1734)
31 8:32 AM 1129 c(2.5% = 780) c(97.5% = 1466)
32 8:32 AM 902 c(2.5% = 421) c(97.5% = 1766)
33 8:32 AM 540 c(2.5% = 160) c(97.5% = 1664)
34 8:32 AM 2344 c(2.5% = 1440) c(97.5% = 3671)
35 8:32 AM 1306 c(2.5% = 592) c(97.5% = 2445)
36 8:32 AM 1742 c(2.5% = 1156) c(97.5% = 2601)
37 8:32 AM 594 c(2.5% = 252) c(97.5% = 1257)
38 8:32 AM 1251 c(2.5% = 795) c(97.5% = 1933)
39 8:32 AM 3183 c(2.5% = 1535) c(97.5% = 4648)
40 8:32 AM 1938 c(2.5% = 1160) c(97.5% = 3236)
41 8:32 AM 1083 c(2.5% = 318) c(97.5% = 2150)
42 8:32 AM 822 c(2.5% = 377) c(97.5% = 1806)
43 8:32 AM 636 c(2.5% = 250) c(97.5% = 1603)
44 8:32 AM 724 c(2.5% = 357) c(97.5% = 1288)
45 8:32 AM 1144 c(2.5% = 434) c(97.5% = 2027)
46 8:32 AM 1549 c(2.5% = 1214) c(97.5% = 2165)
47 8:32 AM 354 c(2.5% = 207) c(97.5% = 614)
48 8:32 AM 910 c(2.5% = 524) c(97.5% = 1518)
49 8:32 AM 1170 c(2.5% = 659) c(97.5% = 2014)
50 8:32 AM 2200 c(2.5% = 1472) c(97.5% = 3357)
51 8:32 AM 1138 c(2.5% = 652) c(97.5% = 1922)
52 8:32 AM 1823 c(2.5% = 1058) c(97.5% = 2912)
53 8:32 AM 1024 c(2.5% = 380) c(97.5% = 1963)
54 8:32 AM 707 c(2.5% = 200) c(97.5% = 1638)
55 8:32 AM 1523 c(2.5% = 435) c(97.5% = 3000)
56 8:32 AM 2320 c(2.5% = 764) c(97.5% = 4233)
57 8:32 AM 1791 c(2.5% = 711) c(97.5% = 3046)
58 8:32 AM 2977 c(2.5% = 1176) c(97.5% = 5116)
59 8:32 AM 1300 c(2.5% = 782) c(97.5% = 2068)
60 8:32 AM 1068 c(2.5% = 604) c(97.5% = 1747)
61 8:32 AM 1237 c(2.5% = 781) c(97.5% = 2096)
62 8:32 AM 1111 c(2.5% = 348) c(97.5% = 2382)
63 8:32 AM 1941 c(2.5% = 847) c(97.5% = 3208)
64 8:32 AM 1033 c(2.5% = 338) c(97.5% = 1948)
65 8:32 AM 1572 c(2.5% = 621) c(97.5% = 2705)
66 8:32 AM 2907 c(2.5% = 1245) c(97.5% = 4908)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions