Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 8:32 AM, 20 voters in 10 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 90,286 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 49,409 - 147,631). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 8:32 AM | 1468 |
c(2.5% = 1017)
|
c(97.5% = 1928)
|
| 02 | 8:32 AM | 2294 |
c(2.5% = 1628)
|
c(97.5% = 2952)
|
| 03 | 8:32 AM | 1183 |
c(2.5% = 602)
|
c(97.5% = 2009)
|
| 04 | 8:32 AM | 1078 |
c(2.5% = 533)
|
c(97.5% = 1918)
|
| 05 | 8:32 AM | 2983 |
c(2.5% = 2222)
|
c(97.5% = 3813)
|
| 06 | 8:32 AM | 722 |
c(2.5% = 488)
|
c(97.5% = 1126)
|
| 07 | 8:32 AM | 410 |
c(2.5% = 112)
|
c(97.5% = 1531)
|
| 08 | 8:32 AM | 3290 |
c(2.5% = 2282)
|
c(97.5% = 4304)
|
| 09 | 8:32 AM | 1963 |
c(2.5% = 1282)
|
c(97.5% = 2688)
|
| 10 | 8:32 AM | 1627 |
c(2.5% = 1009)
|
c(97.5% = 2598)
|
| 11 | 8:32 AM | 696 |
c(2.5% = 327)
|
c(97.5% = 1294)
|
| 12 | 8:32 AM | 1168 |
c(2.5% = 675)
|
c(97.5% = 1901)
|
| 13 | 8:32 AM | 1070 |
c(2.5% = 569)
|
c(97.5% = 1814)
|
| 14 | 8:32 AM | 459 |
c(2.5% = 312)
|
c(97.5% = 700)
|
| 15 | 8:32 AM | 1875 |
c(2.5% = 1257)
|
c(97.5% = 2455)
|
| 16 | 8:32 AM | 563 |
c(2.5% = 237)
|
c(97.5% = 1161)
|
| 17 | 8:32 AM | 1371 |
c(2.5% = 720)
|
c(97.5% = 2307)
|
| 18 | 8:32 AM | 1110 |
c(2.5% = 731)
|
c(97.5% = 1498)
|
| 19 | 8:32 AM | 411 |
c(2.5% = 127)
|
c(97.5% = 1141)
|
| 20 | 8:32 AM | 395 |
c(2.5% = 216)
|
c(97.5% = 864)
|
| 21 | 8:32 AM | 3548 |
c(2.5% = 1919)
|
c(97.5% = 5215)
|
| 22 | 8:32 AM | 2181 |
c(2.5% = 1521)
|
c(97.5% = 3200)
|
| 23 | 8:32 AM | 944 |
c(2.5% = 419)
|
c(97.5% = 1772)
|
| 24 | 8:32 AM | 721 |
c(2.5% = 417)
|
c(97.5% = 1166)
|
| 25 | 8:32 AM | 867 |
c(2.5% = 301)
|
c(97.5% = 1629)
|
| 26 | 8:32 AM | 1435 |
c(2.5% = 719)
|
c(97.5% = 2280)
|
| 27 | 8:32 AM | 875 |
c(2.5% = 554)
|
c(97.5% = 1416)
|
| 28 | 8:32 AM | 601 |
c(2.5% = 257)
|
c(97.5% = 1227)
|
| 29 | 8:32 AM | 668 |
c(2.5% = 393)
|
c(97.5% = 1087)
|
| 30 | 8:32 AM | 1318 |
c(2.5% = 1100)
|
c(97.5% = 1734)
|
| 31 | 8:32 AM | 1129 |
c(2.5% = 780)
|
c(97.5% = 1466)
|
| 32 | 8:32 AM | 902 |
c(2.5% = 421)
|
c(97.5% = 1766)
|
| 33 | 8:32 AM | 540 |
c(2.5% = 160)
|
c(97.5% = 1664)
|
| 34 | 8:32 AM | 2344 |
c(2.5% = 1440)
|
c(97.5% = 3671)
|
| 35 | 8:32 AM | 1306 |
c(2.5% = 592)
|
c(97.5% = 2445)
|
| 36 | 8:32 AM | 1742 |
c(2.5% = 1156)
|
c(97.5% = 2601)
|
| 37 | 8:32 AM | 594 |
c(2.5% = 252)
|
c(97.5% = 1257)
|
| 38 | 8:32 AM | 1251 |
c(2.5% = 795)
|
c(97.5% = 1933)
|
| 39 | 8:32 AM | 3183 |
c(2.5% = 1535)
|
c(97.5% = 4648)
|
| 40 | 8:32 AM | 1938 |
c(2.5% = 1160)
|
c(97.5% = 3236)
|
| 41 | 8:32 AM | 1083 |
c(2.5% = 318)
|
c(97.5% = 2150)
|
| 42 | 8:32 AM | 822 |
c(2.5% = 377)
|
c(97.5% = 1806)
|
| 43 | 8:32 AM | 636 |
c(2.5% = 250)
|
c(97.5% = 1603)
|
| 44 | 8:32 AM | 724 |
c(2.5% = 357)
|
c(97.5% = 1288)
|
| 45 | 8:32 AM | 1144 |
c(2.5% = 434)
|
c(97.5% = 2027)
|
| 46 | 8:32 AM | 1549 |
c(2.5% = 1214)
|
c(97.5% = 2165)
|
| 47 | 8:32 AM | 354 |
c(2.5% = 207)
|
c(97.5% = 614)
|
| 48 | 8:32 AM | 910 |
c(2.5% = 524)
|
c(97.5% = 1518)
|
| 49 | 8:32 AM | 1170 |
c(2.5% = 659)
|
c(97.5% = 2014)
|
| 50 | 8:32 AM | 2200 |
c(2.5% = 1472)
|
c(97.5% = 3357)
|
| 51 | 8:32 AM | 1138 |
c(2.5% = 652)
|
c(97.5% = 1922)
|
| 52 | 8:32 AM | 1823 |
c(2.5% = 1058)
|
c(97.5% = 2912)
|
| 53 | 8:32 AM | 1024 |
c(2.5% = 380)
|
c(97.5% = 1963)
|
| 54 | 8:32 AM | 707 |
c(2.5% = 200)
|
c(97.5% = 1638)
|
| 55 | 8:32 AM | 1523 |
c(2.5% = 435)
|
c(97.5% = 3000)
|
| 56 | 8:32 AM | 2320 |
c(2.5% = 764)
|
c(97.5% = 4233)
|
| 57 | 8:32 AM | 1791 |
c(2.5% = 711)
|
c(97.5% = 3046)
|
| 58 | 8:32 AM | 2977 |
c(2.5% = 1176)
|
c(97.5% = 5116)
|
| 59 | 8:32 AM | 1300 |
c(2.5% = 782)
|
c(97.5% = 2068)
|
| 60 | 8:32 AM | 1068 |
c(2.5% = 604)
|
c(97.5% = 1747)
|
| 61 | 8:32 AM | 1237 |
c(2.5% = 781)
|
c(97.5% = 2096)
|
| 62 | 8:32 AM | 1111 |
c(2.5% = 348)
|
c(97.5% = 2382)
|
| 63 | 8:32 AM | 1941 |
c(2.5% = 847)
|
c(97.5% = 3208)
|
| 64 | 8:32 AM | 1033 |
c(2.5% = 338)
|
c(97.5% = 1948)
|
| 65 | 8:32 AM | 1572 |
c(2.5% = 621)
|
c(97.5% = 2705)
|
| 66 | 8:32 AM | 2907 |
c(2.5% = 1245)
|
c(97.5% = 4908)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions